With the announcement of the dates of Bihar assembly elections by the Election Commission, the race for one of the most prestigious political fans of the year has started. There will be voting in two phases on November 6 and November 11 for 243 assembly seats and votes will be counted on 14 November. The NDA alliance formed by BJP, Janata Dal (United), Lok Jana Shakti Party (Ram Vilas), Hindustan Awami Morcha and Rashtriya Lok Shakti Party (RLSP) is compete with RJD, Congress, CPI (Male), CPI, CPI, CPI and Development Human Party (VIP) India block, in which the competition is expected to be quite thrilling.
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Both the alliances will also have to compete with a new player, Prashant Kishore and his party Jan Suraj, whose major parties are expected to break the vote share. To get information closely, the voters take a look at the figures of the last two assembly elections. In Bihar politics, it has been seen changing the frost of allies, in which JD-U leader Nitish Kumar has also been famous as Chief Minister during his tenure of more than two decades.
This is the biggest question in Bihar: Who will be the next Chief Minister? The political battle is intensifying with the NDA, India Block Alliance and Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party. Will JD (U) leader Nitish Kumar become the Chief Minister for the third consecutive time? If the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) wins, can the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) announce the face of a new Chief Minister? Or will the opposition finally gain power in Bihar and this time will its Chief Minister?
According to several surveys, former Bihar Deputy Chief Minister and Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) leader Tejashwi Yadav remain the most favorite candidate for the post of Chief Minister of Bihar. Yadav was the Deputy Chief Minister in the Grand Alliance government led by Nitish Kumar. Political strategist-turned-politician Prashant Kishore’s popularity reached 23 percent as the most preferred Chief Minister in C-Voter’s latest referendum.
The 2015 elections were fought together by the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and the Janata Dal-United (JD-U), a year after the BJP government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi came to power at the center. In the 2015 elections, the RJD won as the largest party by winning 80 seats, followed by JD (U) with 71 seats. Both parties formed the government with the Congress and other allies. Although this alliance did not last long, Nitish Kumar separated from it and joined the NDA and formed the government again with the support of the BJP in 2017.
In the 2020 election, the NDA won a majority in the assembly and won 125 seats and Nitish Kumar again took oath as Chief Minister. However, in August 2022, Nitish Kumar broke the alliance with the BJP and resigned as the Chief Minister and formed the government with a RJD-Congress-led grand alliance. He emerged as a prominent person in the formation of the joint opposition party India block. However, Kumar’s romance with RJD lasted less than two years and Kumar went back to the NDA before the parliamentary elections in January 2024.
The BJP has improved its position between 2015 and 2020 elections. She contested 157 seats in 2015 and won 74 seats out of 110 seats in 2020. The Rashtriya Janata Dal has also performed well, which won 80 seats in 2015 by contesting 101 seats and won 75 seats in the 2020 elections to win 144 seats. The last two elections saw a decline in JD-U’s performance. He won 71 seats in 2015 by contesting 101 seats and 43 seats in 115 seats in 2020. The performance of the Congress also saw a decline, which won 27 seats in 2015, which declined to 19 in 2020.
In 2015, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) was a major party in terms of high-margin win, which won 29 seats by a margin of more than 15%. In 2020, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won the largest difference seats, scoring 19 seats by more than 15%. In terms of party performance on reserved (SC/ST) seats, Janata Dal (United) [जद(यू)] The most successful party in 2015 was which won 13 of the 40 reserved seats. However, in 2020, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) got the most reserved seats and won 10 of them. The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) is also doing well in reserved seats.
In 2015, the BJP’s most strong performance lived in West Champaran and Patna and won five seats in both districts. West Champaran remained the BJP’s stronghold in the 2020 elections and the party won eight seats. In the last few elections, the BJP has done well in West Champaran and East Champaran. The RJD has shown its strong impact in some districts of Central and North Bihar. JDU is doing well in Nalanda district of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar.
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In the 2020 assembly elections, the RJD emerged as the largest party with 75 seats, while the BJP finished second with 74 seats. Both parties have a strong and committed voter base. With the arrival of a new player like Jan Suraj, this election is expected to be a tough fight, in which small parties are expected to play an important role in forming the next government.