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Many parts of Delhi have been raining since Saturday morning. The IMD has predicted thunderstorms in 20 states today.
This time the monsoon can reach 4 days ahead of the scheduled time. According to the Meteorological Department (IMD), the southwest monsoon will hit Kerala coast on 27 May. It usually reaches Kerala on 1 June.
According to the Meteorological Department, if the monsoon arrives on May 27, it will be the first time in 16 when it will knock so soon. Monsoon knocked in Kerala on 23 May in 2009 and on 30 May in 2024. Apart from this, the monsoon came on 29 May in 2018.
IMD reported that the monsoon usually covers other states by 8 July after reaching Kerala on 1 June. Around 17 September starts a return to Rajasthan and is completed by 15 October.
Possibility of more rain than normal in June to September
An IMD official said that there is no direct connection between the total rainfall and the date of starting across the country during the monsoon. A quick or late monsoon in Kerala does not mean that it will cover other parts of the country in the same way.
Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences M Ravichandran said that there is a possibility of high rainfall during the monsoon season during June to September. During 4 months, 105 percent rainfall can be received at an average of 87 cm.
According to the IMD, 96 to 104 percent rainfall is considered normal at an average of 50 years of 87 cm. Less than 90 percent of rain is considered much less than normal, between 90 and 95 percent, less than normal, between 105 and 110 percent, more than normal and more than 110 percent is considered too high.
How correct the monsoon estimate of IMD and Skymet in the last 5 years
1972 The monsoon reached Kerala with the latest delay According to IMD data, the dates of monsoon reaching Kerala in the last 150 years have been quite different. In 1918, the monsoon first reached Kerala on 11 May, while in 1972, the most delayed reached Kerala on 18 June.
Good rain for economy Necessary 70% of the total rainfall in the country in the country rains during the monsoon. 70% to 80% of the farmers in the country depend on rain for irrigation of crops. That is, good or bad monsoon has a direct effect on yield.
If the monsoon is bad, the crop is produced less, which can increase inflation. The Agricultural Sector is about 20% share in the Indian economy. At the same time, the agricultural sector only employs half the population of the country.
Good rains mean that the population related to farming may have good income before the festive season. This increases their spending ability, which strengthens the economy.
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